Everyone holds one piece. Only the gateway holds the judgment.
The defensible position is gateway-level recovery with suppression intelligence - which pure-software players cannot match because they lack the failure reason and the risk signal.
Where everyone sits
Conceptual map - each player's position reflects its scores in the capability matrix below, not a precise metric. The top-right needs both axes; only a gateway-native agent sits there.
None of the vendors swept advertises propensity-based suppression or control-group incremental-lift reporting - each markets gross recovery, which overstates causal impact.
Public positioning only (product pages, June 2026). A vendor may run holdouts internally; holdout measurement itself is standard practice - the wedge is making it the ONE reported number.
One published control-measured lift number from any competitor - it does not exist in the sweep today.
Capability matrix
| Capability | Relay Recover | Static cart recovery | Razorpay | Shopify apps | Dunning tools | Automation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real-time, at the break | ● | ○ | ◐ | ○ | ○ | ◐ |
| Reason-aware fix (decline code) | ● | ○ | ◐ | ○ | ◐ | ○ |
| Gateway risk signal (fraud + RTO) | ● | ◐ | ◐ | ○ | ○ | ○ |
| Propensity-based suppression | ● | ○ | ○ | ○ | ○ | ○ |
| Control-group incremental proof | ● | ○ | ○ | ○ | ○ | ○ |
| India UPI / COD / NPCI native | ● | ● | ● | ○ | ○ | ◐ |
| One unified agent (not siloed) | ● | ◐ | ○ | ○ | ◐ | ○ |
Swipe the table sideways to see every column.
● yes · ◐ partial (scoped: gateway-side only, recurring-card only, or split across products) · ○ no. Public product pages, June 2026.
The gap, per player
Product naming last verified June 2026 from public product pages: Razorpay = Agent Studio (Claude Agent SDK) + UPI Autopay Revenue-Protect + Failed Payment Recovery + Magic Checkout - not one product. RTO risk = “RTO Intelligence”, distinct from the fraud product “RiskShield”. Stripe's “55%” is the combined suite, not Smart Retries.