Independent product concept.

Commercial credit · the lead use case

Credit memos in minutes. Exceptions that cannot slip through.

The analyst's ratio work is computed in code from facts quoted out of the file. Covenant and leverage breaches reach a credit officer with the analysis finished; nothing is approved, priced or waived by software.

Arbiter AnalystUS Commercial Lending (Commercial Real Estate + C&I business loans)

Run it

Run a commercial real estate file: the sample deal, a clean control, a covenant breach or an embedded-instruction attack.

Arbiter AnalystL1Commercial lendingcredit policy v4.1 · commercial real estate
4/4
test cases passing
3
calculations in code
5
policy gates
0
numbers produced by a model
Load a file

Unedited file: the engine runs its committed facts and no model is called. Synthetic data only. Identifiers are redacted before any model sees the text.

Try an edit:
extract, compute, gate, seal

How the agents hand off

One file through the fleet: verification, the decision, and a reviewer who samples what was auto-rendered.

Watch one credit deal flow through the fleet
spread-ready evidence
cited memo + exceptions
Guardrail
PII redaction + tamper check (unknown is not clean)
Pilot target (unmeasured)
extraction accuracy vs a golden set
Human checkpoint
None - runs autonomously here
Always on, across every stage
Policy-as-code governs every stepHash-chained, replayable recordPolicy gates, not model confidence, set the routeHuman-in-the-loop below the floorEvery fact quoted and verified · grounded-or-abstainEvery step recoverable / rollback-safe

Where it fits in the process

The lifecycle of a file, and the first workflow worth automating.

01Origination / Sourcing

Days to several weeks, depending on how fast the borrower sends documents

A banker (the relationship manager) finds, or is approached by, a business that wants to borrow. They talk through what the company needs the money for, how much, and roughly what the deal would look like, then collect the first batch of documents.

Who: Relationship Manager (the salesperson-banker) and the borrower

The thin-slice wedgeArbiter Analyst

Automated credit spreading & covenant extraction before committee

30-60 min
to spread one return by hand
4-8 hrs
per credit memo, by hand
1.25x
minimum DSCR to clear

Spreading is the slow, error-prone front step whose mistakes poison every downstream ratio.

What the agent decides
  • Map each statement line to the template
  • Compute DSCR, LTV, debt yield, cash flow
  • Extract covenants and existing debt
Where a human stays in
  • Analyst reviews low-confidence flagged cells
  • Committee keeps the lend-or-decline vote

Who else serves this

8 companies already selling into this workflow, described from their public material, and the gap each leaves for a lender that needs a replayable decision. None is affiliated with Arbiter.

Ocrolusas of mid-2026
Document-AI / Extraction & Fraud

Document-AI platform that extracts and structures data from 100s of document types (bank statements, pay stubs, tax forms) at 99%+ accuracy with human-in-the-loop validation, computes income/cash-flow, and runs fraud detection ("Detect")…

Gap for a lender: Sits below the decision - it verifies and feeds data but does not make the credit decision, so it is a component vulnerable to LOS-native extraction (ICE Analyzers, nCino nIQ) and to lenders building…

Source: ocrolus.com
nCinoas of mid-2026
System-of-Record / LOS

Cloud bank operating system (on Salesforce) spanning onboarding, account opening, loan origination, credit analysis, and portfolio management. nIQ Data Recognition auto-extracts data from financial statements/tax docs.

Gap for a lender: AI is largely an assistive copilot/data-recognition layer, not autonomous decisioning - bankers still drive credit decisions; broad-but-shallow across verticals.

Source: ncino.com
Numeratedas of mid-2026
System-of-Record / LOS

AI-driven business-lending origination platform automating the SMB/commercial lending workflow from application to decision to closing (incl. SBA automation, product templates), processing $50B+ in loans for 30,000 lenders / 500,000+…

Gap for a lender: Decisioning still largely supports human credit approval rather than fully automating it; SMB/commercial credit is heterogeneous and judgment-heavy, limiting straight-through autonomy.

Source: numerated.com
Moody's CreditLensas of mid-2026
Underwriting / Decisioning-AI

Commercial-lending credit platform for consistent financial spreading, dual risk-rating models (or bank-configured policies), benchmarking, and BPMN/CMMN credit-approval workflow.

Gap for a lender: Primarily a spreading/risk-rating and workflow tool that informs human credit committees rather than auto-deciding; commercial credit resists full automation.

Source: moodysanalytics.com
Abrigoas of mid-2026
System-of-Record / LOS

Compliance, credit-risk and lending platform for 2,400+ community banks/CUs: loan origination, Sageworks credit analysis/spreading, CECL/ALM modeling, and financial-crime/BSA-AML.

Gap for a lender: AI is assistive (narratives, extraction, review acceleration) rather than autonomous decisioning; serves smaller institutions with lower volumes; less brand-name credit data than Moody's.

Source: abrigo.com
Taktileas of Sept 2026
Decision engines / agentic decision platforms

Sells "The Agentic Decision Platform": a decision engine, an AI agent manager, a case manager and a context layer for financial services.

Gap for a lender: It is a platform the customer builds decisions on; the credit policy, its validation and its test suite remain the customer's work.

Source: taktile.com
Proveniras of Sept 2026
Decision engines / agentic decision platforms

Sells a "Decision Intelligence Platform" for credit risk, fraud, identity, collections and customer-management decisions.

Gap for a lender: A general decisioning platform: document reading, evidence for each extracted fact and commercial-credit memo work are left to the lender or to partners.

Source: provenir.com
FICO Platformas of Sept 2026
Decision engines / agentic decision platforms

FICO's enterprise decisioning platform: decisioning with business rules, mathematical optimization, simulation, real-time analytics and ML, and support for human-in-the-loop AI across the customer lifecycle.

Gap for a lender: Built for enterprises with large decision-science teams; heavy to deploy for a regional bank's commercial credit desk, and extraction from unstructured credit files is not its centre of gravity.

Source: fico.com
The full landscape, including decision engines

Field notes

Reference material behind the design: who is involved, the documents in the file, the cost structure, the metrics a pilot would move, and the agent specification.

StakeholdersWho touches the file and what each owns
Relationship Manager (RM)
Salesperson-banker who owns the client relationship

The face of the bank to the business. They bring in the deal, figure out what the client needs, and shepherd it through the bank, but they don't usually do the number-crunching themselves. Think of them as the account owner who sells and negotiates.

Credit Analyst
The number-cruncher who builds the case

The person who does the grunt work: re-types the financial statements into the bank's template (spreading), calculates the ratios, and drafts the credit memo. Most of the manual hours on a deal are theirs.

Credit Officer / Credit Committee
The decision-maker(s) who approve or decline

A senior banker (or a panel of them) who reads the credit memo and votes yes or no. They are the gatekeepers protecting the bank from bad loans; bigger or riskier loans need more senior or more people to sign off.

Appraiser
Independent valuer of the property

An outside expert hired to give a professional, unbiased estimate of what a building is worth. The bank needs this to know how big a loan is safe versus the value of the collateral.

Attorney
Lawyer who drafts and closes the loan

Writes the binding legal contract, including the covenants (rules the borrower must follow), makes sure the bank's claim on the collateral is legally airtight, and handles the closing.

Borrower / Guarantor
The business taking the loan and the owners backing it

The company that wants the money, plus the owners who personally promise to repay if the business can't (the guarantors). Their tax returns and financials are the raw material the whole process runs on.

Documents in the fileWhat each document is and why it matters to the decision

Business tax returns

The tax forms the company files with the IRS, showing its income and expenses. Banks use these because they're hard to fake and give a few years of history.

Why it matters

They are the most trusted source of a company's real earnings and are the starting point for spreading and cash-flow analysis.

Example

A 3-year stack of Form 1120-S returns for 'Maple Street Diner LLC' showing $1.2M revenue and $180K net profit in the most recent year, used to confirm the business earns enough to cover a new $500K equipment loan.

Cost structureWho pays for what, with illustrative figures
Commercial appraisal
Borrower (paid to an independent appraiser)
~$2,000-$10,000+

More for large or complex properties; a common cause of delay as well as cost.

Environmental report (Phase I)
Borrower
~$2,000-$5,000

Checks the property for contamination risk; often required on CRE deals.

Loan origination fee
Borrower (paid to the bank)
~0.5%-1% of the loan amount

The bank's upfront charge for making the loan.

Legal / documentation fees
Borrower
Few thousand to tens of thousands

Lawyers drafting and closing the loan; scales with deal complexity.

Analyst time per deal (bank's internal cost)
Bank
~4-8 hours just to write the credit memo, plus spreading time

The labor the AI wedge targets; spreading one entity's return alone is ~30-60 minutes.

Metrics a pilot would moveIndustry reference figures from the sources listed; not results of this demo
Writing the memo alone commonly takes 4-8 hours; total spreading-plus-underwriting time runs from hours to a few days
Analyst hours per deal

How much human time an analyst spends to take one loan from raw documents to a committee-ready memo. Lower is better and means cheaper, faster lending.

Underwriting commonly runs 3-10 business days for smaller loans; longer for complex deals
Time-to-credit-memo

How long from receiving the borrower's documents until the finished memo is ready for a decision.

Best-in-class AI extraction claims up to ~98% capture accuracy, implying manual error rates of a few percent or more
Spreading error rate

How often a number gets mistyped or mis-mapped when financials are copied into the bank's template. Errors here poison every downstream ratio and decision.

A workflow-quality target; higher is better and means less rework
% deals committee-ready

The share of memos that reach the committee complete and correct the first time, without being bounced back for missing data or mistakes.

Lenders commonly require a minimum of about 1.25x
DSCR (debt-service-coverage ratio)

Cash the business or property generates divided by the loan payments. Above 1.0 means it earns more than enough to pay; banks want a cushion.

Commonly capped at 75%-80%
LTV (loan-to-value)

Loan amount divided by the appraised value of what backs it. Lower means the bank has more cushion if it has to sell the collateral.

Sources: abrigo.com · propertymetrics.com · occ.gov · crefcoa.com · crefcoa.com · financelobby.com · southstatecorrespondent.com · jpmorgan.com

Agent specificationThe build specification for Arbiter Analyst
Arbiter Analyst
From thin slice to governed digital worker
One high-leverage workflow, scoped tight enough for an engineer to build.
1Scope
2Build
3Govern
4Ship
GlossaryEvery term used on this page, searchable
Spreading

Re-typing a borrower's tax returns and financial statements line-by-line into the bank's standardized template so every borrower can be compared the same way.

e.g. An analyst enters each line of 'Maple Street Diner's' 3 years of tax returns into the bank's credit software to build a clean, comparable financial picture.

Credit memo

The structured write-up that summarizes the analysis, ratios, risks, and a recommendation, and is the document the decision-makers actually read.

e.g. A 12-page memo concluding 'recommend approval of a $500K equipment loan to Maple Street Diner with a 1.40x debt-service coverage and a personal guaranty.'

Credit committee

A panel of senior bankers who read the memo and vote to approve or decline larger or riskier loans.

e.g. On Thursday the committee reviews five memos and approves the diner loan with a condition that the owners keep $100K in reserves.

DSCR (debt-service-coverage ratio)

The cash available to pay debt divided by the debt payments owed; it answers 'can they comfortably afford this?'

e.g. A property with $125,000 of net operating income and $100,000 of annual loan payments has a DSCR of 1.25x.

LTV (loan-to-value)

The loan amount divided by the appraised value of the collateral; it answers 'how much skin does the borrower have versus the bank?'

e.g. A $750,000 loan on a building appraised at $1,000,000 is a 75% LTV.

Debt yield

The property's annual net income divided by the loan amount, showing the bank's plain cash return if it had to take the property over, independent of interest rates or appraised value.

e.g. A property earning $100,000 net income with a $1,000,000 loan has a 10% debt yield.

Global cash flow

A combined view of all the income and expenses of both the business and its owners (guarantors), to see the total ability to repay.

e.g. A property that barely covers its own loan still qualifies because the owner's separate $200,000 salary is added in to show total repayment capacity.

Net operating income (NOI)

For a property, the rent collected minus the cost of running the building, before any loan payments.

e.g. An apartment building collecting $360,000 of rent with $135,000 of operating costs has an NOI of $225,000.

Covenant

A rule written into the loan contract that the borrower must keep following, acting as an early-warning tripwire for the bank.

e.g. A covenant requiring the borrower to keep total debt below 3x annual earnings; exceeding it is a breach the bank can act on.

Borrowing base

The dollar limit on a revolving credit line, set by the value of the borrower's invoices and inventory and recalculated regularly.

e.g. With $2M of eligible invoices at an 80% advance rate, the borrowing base allows up to $1.6M to be drawn that month.

Guarantor

A person (usually a business owner) who personally promises to repay the loan if the business cannot.

e.g. The two 50% owners of the diner each sign a personal guaranty, putting their own assets on the line for the $500K loan.

C&I loan

A commercial-and-industrial loan to an operating business for working capital, equipment, or growth, repaid from the company's profits.

e.g. A $250K revolving line of credit a manufacturer draws on to buy raw materials and repays as customers pay their invoices.

CRE loan

A commercial real estate loan to buy, build, or refinance an income-producing property, repaid from the rent the property earns.

e.g. A $3M loan to purchase a strip mall, repaid from the rent its tenants pay.