Disclaimer: Independent product concept by Kaushal Khodifad. Not a live commercial product.return to portfolio
Disclaimer: Independent product concept by Kaushal Khodifad.
The working product

US Commercial Property & Casualty (P&C) Insurance - Underwriting and Claims

The live prototype first - the market and the spec are below.

Arbiter Risk + Arbiter AdjusterLive prototype ↓
Live prototype · multi-agent

How the agents work together

One file, the whole fleet - a safeguard on every handoff.

Watch one submission or claim flow through the fleet
structured evidence
scored submission / worked claim
Guardrail
PII / PHI redaction + photo authenticity
Measured
extraction F1 99.2%
Human checkpoint
None - runs autonomously here

Reads ACORD / loss runs / FNOL / photos, extracts and checks authenticity.

Always on · across every stage
Policy-as-code governs every stepImmutable, replayable audit trailConfidence signal gates every decisionHuman-in-the-loop below the floorHallucination measured · grounded-or-abstainEvery step recoverable / rollback-safe
Live prototype · agent console

Watch a single agent in depth

Fully instrumented. Run it live.

Arbiter RiskL1Insurance underwriting (commercial P&C)Synthetic
Illustrative · synthetic - not measured results
90s
Submission-to-triage
vs ~45 min
94%
Class accuracy
NAICS/SIC
100%
Grounded
cite-or-abstain
+30%
UW capacity
submissions / UW
Commercial property submission · light manufacturing · Brightline Fabrication Inc.
  1. 1INTAKE
  2. 2CLASSIFY
  3. 3APPETITE
  4. 4SCORE
  5. 5CHECKPOINT
  6. 6LEDGER

Parse the submission

Auto

Read the ACORD application, loss runs and statement of values into structured exposure facts.

tool callparse_submission()
in: ACORD + 3 of 5 yrs loss runs + SOV
out: {tiv: $4.2M, occupancy: light-mfg, priorLosses: 2}
Submission-authenticity
Confidence signal97%
INTAKE-OK
How it works

The market, from zero

No finance background needed - tap any step.

01Submission

Day 0

A business (the customer) asks for coverage. Its broker fills out standardized forms describing the business and sends them to one or more insurance companies. This bundle of forms is called the 'submission.'

Who: Insured business + their broker/agent

Lines of business

Which insurance - and how each works

Pick a line: what it covers, how it's underwritten, how claims flow.

Commercial property

Commercial line

Pays to repair or rebuild a business's buildings, equipment and inventory - and replaces lost income - after a fire, storm, theft or similar event.

Who buys it: Any business that owns or leases physical premises.

Underwriting

Submission → appetite check → classify the occupancy → rate the building value (TIV) and hazards (construction, protection, exposures) → quote → bind.

Claims

First notice of loss → confirm coverage → inspect / estimate the damage → set a reserve → settle the repair or rebuild.

Key docsACORD applicationStatement of Values (SOV)loss runsinspection report
Arbiter agents:Arbiter RiskArbiter Adjuster
Where we play

Where Arbiter fits

The first workflow to automate - and where a human stays in.

The thin-slice wedgeArbiter Risk + Arbiter Adjuster

Submission triage & intake for commercial underwriting

>90%
off-appetite junk caught
3-5d → 4h
quote turnaround
20-30%
real claims leakage

Intake sits atop the funnel where slow quotes and off-appetite junk destroy capacity.

What the agent decides
  • Extract ACORD, loss runs & SOVs to record
  • Match against carrier appetite rules
  • Rank winnable risks, route to underwriter
Where a human stays in
  • Underwriter approves borderline appetite calls
  • Human keeps the pricing & bind decision
Build-ready

The PRD

Tap any section to expand it.

Arbiter Risk + Arbiter Adjuster
From thin slice to governed digital worker
One high-leverage workflow, scoped tight enough for an engineer to build.
1Scope
2Build
3Govern
4Ship
The cast

Who's involved

Who touches the deal, and what each does.

Insured (policyholder)
The customer

The business that buys the insurance and pays the premium. It wants protection if something goes wrong - a warehouse fire, a customer slipping and suing, a delivery truck crash.

Broker / agent
The customer's shopper

An intermediary who works for the business, gathers its information, and shops it to insurers to get the best coverage and price. Brokers represent the insured, not the insurance company, and earn a commission.

MGA (Managing General Agent)
Outsourced mini-insurer

A specialist firm an insurance company hands its 'pen' to - meaning the MGA is allowed to underwrite, price, and sometimes handle claims on the insurer's behalf for a niche it knows well (e.g., trucking or restaurants). It takes the risk decisions but usually doesn't hold the risk itself.

Carrier (insurance company)
The risk-holder

The company that actually promises to pay claims and holds the money to do so. It collects premiums, decides which risks to take, and bears the financial loss when claims happen.

Reinsurer
The insurer's insurer

A company that insures the insurance company. Carriers buy reinsurance so that if a hurricane causes thousands of claims at once, the reinsurer absorbs much of the hit and the carrier doesn't go bankrupt.

TPA (Third-Party Administrator)
Outsourced claims handler

A firm hired to process and pay claims on behalf of an insurer or MGA. It does the day-to-day adjusting work - taking the loss report, verifying coverage, investigating, and cutting the check - without being the company that holds the risk.

Underwriter
The risk decision-maker

The person (at a carrier or MGA) who reviews each submission, judges how risky it is, sets the price, and decides whether to accept, decline, or modify the coverage.

Claims adjuster
The payout decision-maker

The person who handles a loss after it happens - confirms it's covered, figures out how much is owed, and approves payment. Their job is to pay what's fair and owed, no more and no less.

The paperwork

Every document, decoded

Tap a document - what it is, why it matters, an example.

ACORD application (e.g., ACORD 125)

An industry-standard fill-in-the-blanks form that describes the business applying for insurance - its name, address, operations, and ownership. ACORD is the nonprofit that publishes these standardized forms so every insurer reads the same format.

Why it matters

It is the front door of underwriting - the underwriter can't price a risk without knowing what the business is and does. Standardization lets insurers process thousands of submissions consistently.

Example

ACORD 125 for 'Sunrise Bakery LLC, 412 Main St, Ohio, retail bakery with on-site oven, 14 employees, owned by two members.'

The money

What it costs

Who pays for what - illustrative figures.

Premium
Insured business pays carrier (via broker)
Hundreds to millions per year depending on size and risk

The price of the coverage; the insurer's core revenue. A small business might pay a few thousand dollars a year; a large manufacturer, millions.

Broker commission
Carrier/MGA pays broker (out of premium)
~10-20% of premium

How brokers get paid - a slice of the premium, so it costs the business nothing extra directly but is baked into the price.

Claim payout (loss)
Carrier/TPA pays the claimant
Varies enormously - $1K to millions

The actual money paid out when a covered loss happens. This is what the loss ratio measures against premium.

Loss Adjustment Expense (LAE)
Carrier/TPA internal cost
Roughly 10-15% of claim costs

What it costs the insurer to investigate and settle claims - adjuster salaries, lawyers, experts. Separate from the payout itself.

Reinsurance premium
Carrier pays reinsurer
Varies by exposure

What the carrier pays to offload catastrophic risk. Rises sharply after big disaster years (a 'hard market').

Underwriting / operating expense
Carrier internal cost
~25% of premium (industry expense ratio, 2024)

Overhead to run the business - staff, systems, commissions, taxes. The US P&C industry expense ratio was about 25% in 2024, near historic lows.

Deductible
Insured pays first, out of pocket
$500 to $100K+ per claim

The portion of a loss the business pays itself before insurance kicks in. Higher deductible = lower premium.

Scoreboard

Hero metrics

The numbers the worker has to move.

Traditionally 3-5 business days; automation is pushing this to under 4 hours / same-day for clean submissions.
Submission-to-quote cycle time

How long it takes from receiving a request for insurance to sending back a price. Faster is better - slow quotes lose business to competitors.

~20-35% for small commercial; industry rule-of-thumb around 20%. Lower for hard-to-place specialty risks.
Quote-to-bind ratio (hit ratio)

Of all the prices an insurer quotes, what percentage of customers actually buy. Higher means the insurer is pricing well and targeting the right risks.

A 'healthy' range is often cited as 40-60%; varies widely by line of business.
Loss ratio

Of every dollar collected in premium, how many cents are paid out in claims. Lower is more profitable, but too low can mean overcharging.

US P&C industry ~96.6% in 2024 (best in over a decade), projected ~95% in 2025.
Combined ratio

The single most important profitability number - claims plus expenses as a percentage of premium. Below 100% means the insurer made an underwriting profit; above 100% means it lost money on insurance (before investment income).

Often assumed at 2-4%, but rigorous studies put real leakage at 20-30% of claim spend.
Claims leakage %

The share of claim dollars paid out that shouldn't have been - overpayments, missed recoveries, paying for things not covered. Money quietly lost through sloppy handling.

Leading insurers hit ~60% straight-through on low-severity claims within a year of automating.
Straight-through-pay rate

The percentage of simple claims that get paid automatically with no human touching them. Higher means lower cost and faster service.

Claims-handling costs run roughly 10-15% of claim costs; total P&C expense ratios sit ~20-40%.
Loss Adjustment Expense (LAE) ratio

What it costs to handle claims, as a share of premium or losses - adjusters, lawyers, experts. Lower means a leaner claims operation.

The field

Who else is here

6 players already serving this vertical, and the gap each leaves.

Guidewiremoat 5/5
Insurance Core & Claims/Underwriting-AI

Dominant P&C insurance core suite (InsuranceSuite: PolicyCenter, ClaimCenter, BillingCenter, plus UnderwritingCenter) on Guidewire Cloud. Adding an …

Gap: Core-platform conservatism and human-in-the-loop governance cap autonomy; AI is largely an orchestration/assist layer …

Duck Creekmoat 4/5
Insurance Core & Claims/Underwriting-AI

End-to-end P&C core SaaS (Duck Creek OnDemand: policy, billing, claims) and the main challenger to Guidewire. Launched an insurance-native Agentic A…

Gap: Smaller installed base than Guidewire; agentic apps are newly launched and unproven at scale; like all core suites it …

Shift Technologymoat 4/5
Insurance Core & Claims/Underwriting-AI

AI decision-optimization specialist for insurers: a fraud-detection engine that scores each claim against hundreds of evolving fraud scenarios using…

Gap: Specialist layer dependent on core platforms (Guidewire/Duck Creek) for distribution and could be encroached by their …

Tractablemoat 3/5
Insurance Core & Claims/Underwriting-AI

Computer-vision AI that assesses vehicle (and property) damage from smartphone photos, generating repair estimates and triage (total loss / repairab…

Gap: Value concentrated in one step (visual assessment); accuracy bounded by photo quality and blind to hidden/structural d…

Akur8moat 4/5
Insurance Core & Claims/Underwriting-AI

Actuarial AI platform that automates insurance pricing and reserving using proprietary Transparent Machine Learning (TML) on GLM/GAM structures - bu…

Gap: Automates model-building, not the bind/decision - actuaries retain control and regulators approve rates, so it acceler…

Sixfoldmoat 3/5
Insurance Core & Claims/Underwriting-AI

Generative-AI underwriting solution that ingests an insurer's own guidelines/risk appetite, then assesses submissions (SOVs, applications, loss runs…

Gap: Early-stage and venture-funded vs. entrenched cores; produces a risk assessment/score that supports the underwriter ra…

Cheat sheet

Jargon, decoded

Every term on this page - search it.

Premium

The price a business pays an insurer for coverage, usually yearly.

e.g. Sunrise Bakery pays a $9,800 annual premium for its property and liability policy.

Loss ratio

Claims paid divided by premiums collected, shown as a percentage - how much of the price goes back out as claims.

e.g. An insurer collects $100M in premium and pays $55M in claims: a 55% loss ratio.

Combined ratio

Loss ratio plus expense ratio - the key test of whether insuring is profitable; under 100% is a profit.

e.g. 55% claims + 30% expenses = 85% combined ratio, meaning a 15-cent underwriting profit per premium dollar.

Reserves

Money an insurer sets aside to pay claims it knows about but hasn't fully paid yet.

e.g. When a $50K injury claim is reported, the adjuster books a $50K reserve so the money is earmarked even before it's paid.

ACORD

The nonprofit that creates the standardized insurance forms everyone uses, so submissions look the same across the industry.

e.g. A broker submits an ACORD 125 application and ACORD 139 statement of values for a new restaurant account.

FNOL (First Notice of Loss)

The very first report that a loss or accident has happened, which starts the claims process.

e.g. After a kitchen fire, the bakery owner calls the hotline - that call is the FNOL.

Subrogation

An insurer's right to recover money from whoever actually caused a loss after it has paid its own customer.

e.g. After paying for fire damage caused by a faulty oven, the insurer sues the oven manufacturer to get its money back.

Claims leakage

Money paid out on claims that shouldn't have been - overpayments, missed recoveries, or paying for non-covered items.

e.g. An adjuster approves a $42K roof estimate without noticing $6K was for upgrades the policy doesn't cover - that $6K is leakage.

Appetite

The types of risks an insurer wants (or refuses) to cover.

e.g. A carrier's appetite includes offices and retail but excludes nightclubs and fireworks factories.

Bind

The moment coverage becomes legally active, before the formal policy is even printed.

e.g. The underwriter emails 'we're bound effective today' and the business is protected from that minute.

Reinsurance

Insurance that insurers buy to protect themselves against huge or many-at-once losses.

e.g. A coastal insurer buys reinsurance so a single hurricane doesn't wipe it out.

Loss Adjustment Expense (LAE)

The cost of investigating and settling claims, separate from the claim payout itself.

e.g. Paying a $20K claim also costs $2K in adjuster time and an expert's fee - that $2K is LAE.

↑ Independent product concept by Kaushal Khodifad. Arbiter is an independent product concept by Kaushal Khodifad; it is not a real company or a commercial product. It explores the adjudication infrastructure for regulated lending & insurance space. Not a live commercial product. Data is illustrative.

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